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Diplomacy

Diplomacy

+1

The Leash Snapped

Apr 19, 2026

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8 min read

The Leash Snapped

Two days after "PROHIBITED," a US destroyer blew a hole in an Iranian freighter. The ceasefire is 72 hours from expiry, the strait is closed, and both sides are running the clock.

Diplomacy

+1

The Day Washington Leashed Jerusalem

Apr 17, 2026

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8 min read

The Day Washington Leashed Jerusalem

A ceasefire imposed on Israel, a strait reopened by Iran, and a presidential veto that redraws the rules of the alliance.

Lebanon

+2

The Lebanon Unlock

Apr 16, 2026

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8 min read

The Lebanon Unlock

Trump just brokered a 10-day Israel-Lebanon ceasefire five days before the Iran truce expires. The two tracks were never separate - and Tehran now has the cover it needed to sign.

Diplomacy

+1

The Islamabad Gambit

Apr 11, 2026

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13 min read

The Islamabad Gambit

The first direct US-Iran talks since 1979 begin in Pakistan. Trump orders Hormuz mine-clearing mid-negotiation. And Beijing arms the country it just helped bring to the table.

Diplomacy

+1

The Blink

Apr 7, 2026

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11 min read

The Blink

Trump threatened to destroy a civilization. Then he took Pakistan's off-ramp. A two-week ceasefire begins, but the war's structural damage is already done.

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